Spain: Poll by Simple Lógica from 10.01.2023

Polling data

PP
29.9
+2.3
PSOE
27.0
-0.8
Vox
14.9
-3.3
UP
10.5
+1.1
MP
3.2
+0.7
Cs
1.8
+1.5
Others
12.7
-1.5
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-3.2
PSOE
-4.7
Vox
+2.5
UP
New
MP
New
Cs
New
Simple Lógica – 1012 respondents – 02.01.2023-10.01.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher

In 31% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 55% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 30% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Spain from Simple Lógica shows the following results: Partido Popular 29.9%, PSOE 27%, Vox 14.9%, Unidos Podemos 10.5%, Más País 3.2% and Ciudadanos 1.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 31.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Simple Lógica. For this purpose, 1012 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (02.01.2023 - 10.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
43
12.3%
MP
13
3.7%
PSOE
111
31.7%
PP
122
34.9%
Vox
61
17.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
66.6%
Partido Popular + Vox
52.3%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + Más País
47.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Simple Lógica. The survey took place between 02.01.2023 and 10.01.2023 among 1012 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 29.9%, PSOE 27%, Vox 14.9%, Unidos Podemos 10.5%, Más País 3.2% and Ciudadanos 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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