Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by GESOP from 01.03.2023

Polling data

PP
29.8
+1.2
PSOE
26.9
+0.7
Vox
14.8
+1.6
UP
11.8
-0.4
MP
2.5
-0.6
Cs
2.0
-0.2
ERC
2.0
-0.8
JxC
1.8
+0.3
Sonst.
8.4
-1.8
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-3.3
PSOE
-4.8
Vox
+2.4
UP
MP
Cs
ERC
+0.1
JxC
+0.2
GESOP – 1002 respondents – 27.02.2023-01.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 61% of election polls GESOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 30% of election polls, GESOP rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from GESOP shows the following results: Partido Popular 29.8%, PSOE 26.9%, Vox 14.8%, Unidos Podemos 11.8%, Más País 2.5%, Ciudadanos 2%, ERC 2% and Junts per Catalunya 1.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 32.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GESOP. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.02.2023 - 01.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
49
PSOE
113
PP
126
Vox
62
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
239
Partido Popular + Vox
188
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
162

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by GESOP. The survey took place between 27.02.2023 and 01.03.2023 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 29.8%, PSOE 26.9%, Vox 14.8%, Unidos Podemos 11.8%, Más País 2.5%, Ciudadanos 2%, ERC 2% and Junts per Catalunya 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.