Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Invymark from 18.03.2024

Polling data

PP
38.6
+1.1
PSOE
30.9
-1.4
Vox
9.6
-0.2
Sumar
9.4
-0.2
Sonst.
11.5
+0.7
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
+5.5
PSOE
-0.8
Vox
-2.8
Sumar
-2.9
Invymark – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 18.03.2024-18.03.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 34% of election polls, Invymark rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Invymark shows the following results: Partido Popular 38.6%, PSOE 30.9%, Vox 9.6% and Sumar 9.4%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Partido Popular might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. Sumar, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 45.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Invymark. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (18.03.2024 - 18.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

350
Sumar
37
PSOE
122
PP
153
Vox
38
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
275
Partido Popular + Vox
191
PSOE + Sumar
159

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Invymark. The poll was conducted on 18.03.2024 - the number of respondents is unknown. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 38.6%, PSOE 30.9%, Vox 9.6% and Sumar 9.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.