Turkey
Election trend
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Elections

Turkey: Poll by PIAR from 13.10.2022

Polling data

AKP
28.6
-0.5
CHP
28.1
±0.0
İYİ
11.7
+0.5
HDP
9.8
-0.8
MHP
8.6
±0.0
GP
2.9
+1.8
ZP
2.7
-0.8
BTP
1.9
+0.1
YRP
1.6
+0.2
DEVA
1.5
-0.4
SP
0.9
±0.0
TİP
0.9
+0.1
Others
0.8
+0.0
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-6.9
CHP
+2.7
İYİ
+1.9
HDP
MHP
-1.5
GP
ZP
+0.4
BTP
YRP
-1.2
DEVA
SP
TİP
-0.8
PIAR – 2524 respondents – 10.10.2022-13.10.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates AKP lower
In 47% of election polls PIAR rates AKP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CHP lower
In 40% of election polls PIAR rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates İYİ lower
In 73% of election polls PIAR rates İYİ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates MHP higher
In 47% of election polls, PIAR rates MHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from PIAR shows the following results: AKP 28.6%, CHP 28.1%, İYİ 11.7%, HDP 9.8%, MHP 8.6%, Gelecek 2.9%, ZP 2.7%, BTP 1.9%, YRP 1.6%, DEVA 1.5%, Saadet 0.9% and TİP 0.9%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, CHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.7 growth since the last election. AKP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 42.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by PIAR. For this purpose, 2524 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (10.10.2022 - 13.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

AKP + İYİ + HDP
57.7
AKP + İYİ + MHP
56.3

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by PIAR. The survey took place between 10.10.2022 and 13.10.2022 among 2524 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 28.6%, CHP 28.1%, İYİ 11.7%, HDP 9.8%, MHP 8.6%, Gelecek 2.9%, ZP 2.7%, BTP 1.9%, YRP 1.6%, DEVA 1.5%, Saadet 0.9% and TİP 0.9%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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