Turkey
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Turkey: Poll by ASAL from 10.10.2023

Polling data

AKP
34.5
-3.2
CHP
20.2
-4.2
MHP
12.1
+3.4
DEM
9.8
+9.8
İYİ
8.0
-3.2
YRP
3.6
+2.2
TİP
3.0
+3.0
ZP
2.7
+1.7
MP
1.1
+0.5
Sonst.
5.0
-10.0
Development since the last election on 14.05.2023
AKP
-1.0
CHP
-5.2
MHP
+2.0
DEM
+1.0
İYİ
-1.8
YRP
+0.8
TİP
+1.3
ZP
+0.4
MP
+0.2
ASAL – 2600 respondents – 05.10.2023-10.10.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Turkey is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates AKP higher

In 67% of election polls, ASAL rates AKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CHP lower

In 58% of election polls ASAL rates CHP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates İYİ lower

In 50% of election polls ASAL rates İYİ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MHP higher

In 50% of election polls, ASAL rates MHP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Turkey - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Turkey from ASAL shows the following results: AKP 34.5%, CHP 20.2%, MHP 12.1%, DEM 9.8%, İYİ 8%, YRP 3.6%, TİP 3%, ZP 2.7% and MP 1.1%. If an election were held in Turkey this Sunday, MHP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. CHP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from AKP and MHP. With 55.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by ASAL. For this purpose, 2600 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (05.10.2023 - 10.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

0
Majority requires 1 seats
AKP + MHP
0
AKP + DEM
0
AKP + İYİ
0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Turkey was conducted by ASAL. The survey took place between 05.10.2023 and 10.10.2023 among 2600 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AKP 34.5%, CHP 20.2%, MHP 12.1%, DEM 9.8%, İYİ 8%, YRP 3.6%, TİP 3%, ZP 2.7% and MP 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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