Croatia
Election trend
Parties

Croatia: Poll by Ipsos from 20.12.2022

Polling data

HDZ
37.3
+1.1
SDP
14.9
+0.7
Most
9.7
-0.4
M
9.1
-1.3
DP
8.3
+1.3
IDS
2.6
-1.0
HNS
2.2
-0.1
RF
1.9
+1.9
HSS
1.8
+1.8
HSU
1.7
-0.2
HS
1.3
-0.6
Sonst.
9.2
-3.2
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
+2.9
SDP
-10.5
Most
+1.7
M
±0.0
DP
-1.3
IDS
+0.4
HNS
RF
HSS
HSU
HS
Ipsos – 990 respondents – 01.12.2022-20.12.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Ipsos shows the following results: HDZ 37.3%, SDP 14.9%, Most 9.7%, Možemo! 9.1%, DP 8.3%, IDS 2.6%, HNS 2.2%, RF 1.9%, HSS 1.8%, HSU 1.7% and Hrvatski suverenisti 1.3%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, HDZ might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 47.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 990 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (01.12.2022 - 20.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

151
M
17
SDP
28
HDZ
72
Most
18
DP
16
Majority requires 76 seats
HDZ + SDP
100
HDZ + Most
90
HDZ + DP
88
HDZ
72

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.12.2022 and 20.12.2022 among 990 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 37.3%, SDP 14.9%, Most 9.7%, Možemo! 9.1%, DP 8.3%, IDS 2.6%, HNS 2.2%, RF 1.9%, HSS 1.8%, HSU 1.7% and Hrvatski suverenisti 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.