Croatia
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Croatia: Poll by Ipsos from 21.02.2023

Polling data

HDZ
34.5
-2.8
SDP
14.4
-0.5
Most
10.6
+0.9
M
10.1
+1.0
DPMŠ
6.7
-1.6
CENTAR
3.3
+3.3
HSS
2.0
+0.2
HSU
2.0
+0.3
Fokus
1.8
+1.8
HNS
1.8
-0.4
IDS
1.8
-0.8
Others
11.0
+0.0
Development since the last election on 05.07.2020
HDZ
-1.3
SDP
-9.5
Most
+3.5
M
+3.4
DPMŠ
-3.8
CENTAR
HSS
HSU
Fokus
HNS
+0.5
IDS
Ipsos – 991 respondents – 01.02.2023-21.02.2023

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Ipsos shows the following results: HDZ 34.5%, SDP 14.4%, Most 10.6%, Možemo! 10.1%, DPMŠ 6.7%, Centar 3.3%, HSS 2%, HSU 2%, Fokus 1.8%, HNS 1.8% and IDS 1.8%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Most might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HDZ and HNS. With 45.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 991 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 20 days (01.02.2023 - 21.02.2023).

Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2024.

Coalition possibilities

HDZ + SDP
64.1
HDZ + Most
59.1
HDZ + DPMŠ
54.0
HDZ
45.2
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 45.2% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.02.2023 and 21.02.2023 among 991 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 34.5%, SDP 14.4%, Most 10.6%, Možemo! 10.1%, DPMŠ 6.7%, Centar 3.3%, HSS 2%, HSU 2%, Fokus 1.8%, HNS 1.8% and IDS 1.8%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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