Croatia: Poll by IPSOS PULS from 18.10.2018

Polling data

HDZ
29.1
-0.1
SDP
16.3
-0.9
KH
13.2
+0.6
Most
6.6
-1.7
BM365
3.9
+0.6
HSS
3.3
-0.4
P
3.2
+0.3
IDS
1.8
-0.2
HNS
1.5
+0.5
Others
21.1
+1.3
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-5.3
SDP
-9.1
KH
New
Most
-1.4
BM365
New
HSS
New
P
New
IDS
-0.4
HNS
New
IPSOS PULS – 984 respondents – 01.10.2018-18.10.2018

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HDZ higher

In 42% of election polls, IPSOS PULS rates HDZ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates KH higher

In 46% of election polls, IPSOS PULS rates KH higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP lower

In 73% of election polls IPSOS PULS rates SDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia from IPSOS PULS shows the following results: HDZ 29.1%, SDP 16.3%, KH 13.2%, Most 6.6%, BM 365 3.9%, HSS 3.3%, Pametno 3.2%, IDS 1.8% and HNS 1.5%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, IDS might gain the most in voter favorability with -0.4 growth since the last election. SDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 45.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IPSOS PULS. For this purpose, 984 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (01.10.2018 - 18.10.2018).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
SDP
38
25.2%
KH
30
19.9%
HDZ
68
45%
Most
15
9.9%
HDZ + SDP
70.2%
HDZ + KH
64.9%
HDZ + Most
55.0%
SDP + KH + Most
55.0%
HDZ
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by IPSOS PULS. The survey took place between 01.10.2018 and 18.10.2018 among 984 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 29.1%, SDP 16.3%, KH 13.2%, Most 6.6%, BM 365 3.9%, HSS 3.3%, Pametno 3.2%, IDS 1.8% and HNS 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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