Estonia
Election trend
Parties

Estonia: Poll by Kantar Emor from 14.09.2022

Polling data

R
29.0
-2.0
EKRE
23.0
+5.0
K
14.0
-2.0
SDE
11.0
±0.0
E200
11.0
-2.0
I
8.0
+1.0
ER
3.0
+1.0
P
1.0
+1.0
TULE
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 05.03.2023
R
-2.2
EKRE
+6.9
K
-1.3
SDE
+1.7
E200
-2.3
I
-0.2
ER
P
-1.3
TULE
Kantar Emor – 1431 respondents – 08.09.2022-14.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Estonia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Estonia from Kantar Emor shows the following results: Reformierakond 29%, EKRE 23%, Keskerakond 14%, SDE 11%, E200 11%, Isamaa 8%, Elurikkuse Erakond 3%, Parempoolsed 1% and TULE 1%. If an election were held in Estonia this Sunday, EKRE might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. E200, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kaja Kallas is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Reformierakond, SDE and Isamaa. With 50.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Emor. For this purpose, 1431 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (08.09.2022 - 14.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

101
SDE
11
K
15
E200
11
R
31
I
8
EKRE
25
Majority requires 51 seats
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + SDE
57
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
57
Reformierakond + EKRE
56
Reformierakond + SDE + E200
53
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Isamaa
54
Reformierakond + SDE + Isamaa
50
Reformierakond + E200 + Isamaa
50
Reformierakond + Keskerakond
46

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Kantar Emor. The survey took place between 08.09.2022 and 14.09.2022 among 1431 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Reformierakond 29%, EKRE 23%, Keskerakond 14%, SDE 11%, E200 11%, Isamaa 8%, Elurikkuse Erakond 3%, Parempoolsed 1% and TULE 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.