Estonia: Poll by Kantar Emor from 11.01.2023

Polling data

R
28.0
-2.0
EKRE
21.0
+3.0
K
18.0
+2.0
E200
11.0
-3.0
SDE
10.0
+1.0
I
7.0
-1.0
ER
3.0
±0.0
P
1.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
±0.0
Kantar Emor – 1639 respondents – 05.01.2023-11.01.2023
Next election: 05.03.2023
The next general election in Estonia will be held in 25.

Coalition possibilities

Ref + Kesk + E200
60.0
Ref + Kesk + SDE
58.9
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
55.8
Ref + E200 + SDE
51.6
Ref + EKRE
51.6
Ref + Kesk
48.4
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
47.4
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 47.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Kantar Emor. The survey took place between 05.01.2023 and 11.01.2023 among 1639 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 28%, EKRE 21%, Kesk 18%, E200 11%, SDE 10%, Isamaa 7%, Elurikkuse Erakond 3% and P 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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