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Estonia: Poll by Kantar Emor from 26.01.2023

Polling data

R
31.5
+3.5
EKRE
19.1
-1.9
K
16.0
-2.0
E200
12.4
+1.4
SDE
7.6
-2.4
I
5.6
-1.4
ER
2.9
-0.1
P
2.0
+1.0
Others
2.9
±0.0
Development since the last election on 05.03.2023
R
+0.3
EKRE
+3.0
K
+0.7
E200
-0.9
SDE
-1.7
I
-2.6
ER
P
-0.3
Kantar Emor – 1639 respondents – 19.01.2023-26.01.2023

Estonia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Estonia from Kantar Emor shows the following results: Ref 31.5%, EKRE 19.1%, Kesk 16%, E200 12.4%, SDE 7.6%, Isamaa 5.6%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.9% and Parempoolsed 2%. If an election were held in Estonia this Sunday, EKRE might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. Isamaa, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kaja Kallas is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ref, SDE and Isamaa. With 48.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Emor. For this purpose, 1639 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (19.01.2023 - 26.01.2023).

Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

Ref + E200 + SDE
55.8
Ref + EKRE
54.9
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
53.7
Ref + Kesk
51.6
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
48.5
Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 48.5% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Kantar Emor. The survey took place between 19.01.2023 and 26.01.2023 among 1639 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 31.5%, EKRE 19.1%, Kesk 16%, E200 12.4%, SDE 7.6%, Isamaa 5.6%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.9% and Parempoolsed 2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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