Estonia
Election trend
Parties

Estonia: Poll by Norstat from 01.03.2019

Polling data

R
26.4
±0.0
K
23.5
±0.0
EKRE
17.7
±0.0
SDE
12.5
±0.0
I
12.3
±0.0
E200
4.4
±0.0
EER
1.6
±0.0
EVA
0.7
±0.0
Sonst.
0.9
±0.0
Development since the last election on 05.03.2023
R
-4.8
K
+8.2
EKRE
+1.6
SDE
+3.2
I
+4.1
E200
-8.9
EER
+0.6
EVA
Norstat – 1000 respondents – 24.02.2019-01.03.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Estonia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Estonia from Norstat shows the following results: Reformierakond 26.4%, Keskerakond 23.5%, EKRE 17.7%, SDE 12.5%, Isamaa 12.3%, E200 4.4%, EER 1.6% and EVA 0.7%. If an election were held in Estonia this Sunday, Keskerakond might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.2 growth since the last election. E200, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kaja Kallas is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Reformierakond, SDE and Isamaa. With 55.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (24.02.2019 - 01.03.2019).

Coalition possibilities

101
SDE
14
K
26
R
29
I
13
EKRE
19
Majority requires 51 seats
Reformierakond + EKRE + Isamaa
61
Reformierakond + SDE + Isamaa
56
Reformierakond + Keskerakond
55
Keskerakond + SDE + Isamaa
53
Reformierakond + EKRE
48

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 24.02.2019 and 01.03.2019 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Reformierakond 26.4%, Keskerakond 23.5%, EKRE 17.7%, SDE 12.5%, Isamaa 12.3%, E200 4.4%, EER 1.6% and EVA 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.