Finland
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Elections

Finland: Poll by Kantar Public from 12.05.2023

Polling data

KOK
21.4
±0.0
PS
21.0
±0.0
SDP
19.0
±0.0
KESK
10.1
±0.0
VAS
7.8
±0.0
VIHR
7.7
±0.0
SFP
4.5
±0.0
KD
4.1
±0.0
LIIK
1.9
±0.0
Others
2.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
+0.6
PS
+0.9
SDP
-0.9
KESK
-1.2
VAS
+0.7
VIHR
+0.7
SFP
+0.2
KD
-0.1
LIIK
-0.5
Kantar Public – 2860 respondents – 03.04.2023-12.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.
Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar Public shows the following results: Kokoomus 21.4%, Perussuomalaiset 21%, SDP 19%, Suomen Keskusta 10.1%, Vasemmisto 7.8%, Vihreä liitto 7.7%, Svenska 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.1% and Liike Nyt 1.9%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Perussuomalaiset might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.9 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Sanna Marin is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Suomen Keskusta, SDP, Vihreä liitto, Vasemmisto and Svenska. With 50.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 2860 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 39 days (03.04.2023 - 12.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Svenska
53.9
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
53.5
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
51.8
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmisto + Vihreä liitto + Svenska
50.4
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
50.2
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
49.3
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska + Kristillisdemokraatit
49.0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 03.04.2023 and 12.05.2023 among 2860 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 21.4%, Perussuomalaiset 21%, SDP 19%, Suomen Keskusta 10.1%, Vasemmisto 7.8%, Vihreä liitto 7.7%, Svenska 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4.1% and Liike Nyt 1.9%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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