Current election polls by Median

Latest polls from Median

Rating of parties

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Median pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Median's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
1x the second best prediction
0x the third best prediction