Latvia
Election trend
Parties

Latvia: Poll by Factum from 29.04.2022

Polling data

JV
19.2
+2.2
NA
12.5
+0.6
S
12.4
+1.2
AP!
10.3
+0.1
ZZS
9.4
-1.4
K
9.1
+9.1
P
5.9
±0.0
LKS
5.2
-0.4
KuK
3.8
-0.9
LPV
3.1
-2.1
R
2.3
+0.6
LRA
2.2
-0.4
PCL
1.0
-5.7
Sonst.
3.6
-2.9
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
+0.1
NA
+3.1
S
+7.6
AP!
+5.2
ZZS
-3.4
K
+5.9
P
-0.3
LKS
+1.5
KuK
+0.1
LPV
-3.2
R
+0.5
LRA
PCL
Factum – 969 respondents – 26.04.2022-29.04.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība higher
In 45% of election polls, Factum rates Jaunā Vienotība higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDPS lower
In 52% of election polls Factum rates SDPS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZZS lower
In 30% of election polls Factum rates ZZS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from Factum shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 19.2%, Nacionālā Apvienība 12.5%, SDPS 12.4%, AP! 10.3%, ZZS 9.4%, K 9.1%, Progresīvie 5.9%, LKS 5.2%, KuK 3.8%, LPV 3.1%, Republika 2.3%, LRA 2.2% and PCL 1%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, SDPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. ZZS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 60.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Factum. For this purpose, 969 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (26.04.2022 - 29.04.2022).

Coalition possibilities

100
S
15
P
7
LKS
6
AP!
12
ZZS
11
JV
23
K
11
NA
15
Majority requires 51 seats
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + ZZS
61
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + ZZS
61
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + K
61
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + K
61
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + K
60
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + K
60
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + ZZS + K
57
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + Progresīvie
57
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + K + Progresīvie
56
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + Progresīvie
56
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + K + Progresīvie
56
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + LKS
55
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + LKS
55
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + K + LKS
55
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + K + LKS
55
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + ZZS + Progresīvie
53
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + K + Progresīvie
53
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + K + Progresīvie
52
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + K + LKS
51
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + Progresīvie + LKS
51
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP!
50
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP!
50
SDPS + ZZS + K + Progresīvie + LKS
50
Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + ZZS + K
49
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + K
49
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS
49
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS
49
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + K
49
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + K
49

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by Factum. The survey took place between 26.04.2022 and 29.04.2022 among 969 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 19.2%, Nacionālā Apvienība 12.5%, SDPS 12.4%, AP! 10.3%, ZZS 9.4%, K 9.1%, Progresīvie 5.9%, LKS 5.2%, KuK 3.8%, LPV 3.1%, Republika 2.3%, LRA 2.2% and PCL 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.