Latvia
Election trend
Parties

Latvia: Poll by Factum from 07.08.2022

Polling data

JV
21.0
+0.5
S
10.9
+0.6
NA
10.5
-0.8
AP!
9.4
-1.3
ZZS
7.7
+0.9
AS
7.7
+2.8
P
6.3
-0.1
S!
6.1
+0.8
K
5.9
+0.2
LPV
4.5
-0.5
LKS
3.5
-0.3
KuK
2.2
-0.9
R
1.7
-0.2
Sonst.
2.6
-1.7
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
+1.9
S
+6.1
NA
+1.1
AP!
+4.3
ZZS
-5.1
AS
-3.4
P
+0.1
S!
-0.7
K
+2.7
LPV
-1.8
LKS
-0.2
KuK
-1.5
R
-0.1
Factum – 878 respondents – 03.08.2022-07.08.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.
Low number of respondents
Only 878 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība higher
In 45% of election polls, Factum rates Jaunā Vienotība higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDPS lower
In 52% of election polls Factum rates SDPS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZZS lower
In 30% of election polls Factum rates ZZS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from Factum shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 21%, SDPS 10.9%, Nacionālā Apvienība 10.5%, AP! 9.4%, ZZS 7.7%, AS 7.7%, Progresīvie 6.3%, Stabilitātei! 6.1%, K 5.9%, LPV 4.5%, LKS 3.5%, KuK 2.2% and Republika 1.7%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, SDPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.1 growth since the last election. ZZS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 54.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Factum. For this purpose, 878 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (03.08.2022 - 07.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

100
S
13
P
7
AP!
11
ZZS
9
JV
25
AS
9
S!
7
K
7
NA
12
Majority requires 51 seats
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + ZZS
58
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + AS
58
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
57
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + K
57
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + AS
57
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + ZZS
57
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Progresīvie + K
57
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + K
57
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + Progresīvie
56
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + Stabilitātei!
56
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + AS
56
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP! + K
56
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + Stabilitātei!
55
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + K
55
Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + K
55
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AS
55
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AP! + K
55
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + Progresīvie
54
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AS + Progresīvie
54
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + ZZS + AS
54
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
54
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AS + Stabilitātei!
54
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + ZZS + K
54
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AS + K
54
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + K
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + K
53
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + ZZS + Progresīvie
52
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + AS + Progresīvie
52
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
52
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
52
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + AS + Stabilitātei!
52
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + Progresīvie + K
52
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + ZZS + K
52
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + AS + K
52
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + Stabilitātei! + K
52
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + K
51
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei!
50
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Progresīvie
50
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + Progresīvie + K
50
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
50
Jaunā Vienotība + AP! + Stabilitātei! + K
50
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + K
50
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + AS + Progresīvie
49
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
49
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + AS + K
49
Jaunā Vienotība + SDPS + AP!
49

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by Factum. The survey took place between 03.08.2022 and 07.08.2022 among 878 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 21%, SDPS 10.9%, Nacionālā Apvienība 10.5%, AP! 9.4%, ZZS 7.7%, AS 7.7%, Progresīvie 6.3%, Stabilitātei! 6.1%, K 5.9%, LPV 4.5%, LKS 3.5%, KuK 2.2% and Republika 1.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.