Lithuania: Poll by Vilmorus from 25.09.2022

Polling data

LSDP
22.4
-4.6
TS-LKD
18.9
+3.5
DSVL
12.3
-5.5
LVŽS
11.7
-0.4
LRLS
6.4
-1.4
DP
5.9
-2.8
LRP
5.4
+5.4
LP
2.9
-0.4
LLRA-KŠS
1.9
+0.3
Others
12.2
0.0
Vilmorus – 1000 respondents – 14.09.2022-25.09.2022
Institute often rates Laisvės lower
In 36% of election polls Vilmorus rates Laisvės lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LSDP higher
In 31% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LSDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LVŽS higher
In 59% of election polls, Vilmorus rates LVŽS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates TS-LKD higher
In 41% of election polls, Vilmorus rates TS-LKD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2024.

Coalition possibilities

LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
64.6
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
63.9
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRLS
57.5
LSDP + TS-LKD + DP
56.9
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + DP
LSDP + TS-LKD + LRP
56.3
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + DP
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
55.9
LSDP + DSVL + DP + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
LSDP + LVŽS + DP + LRP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LRLS + DP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LRLS + LRP
TS-LKD + DSVL + LVŽS
51.7
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LRLS + DP
TS-LKD + DSVL + DP + LRP
TS-LKD + LVŽS + LRLS + LRP
TS-LKD + LVŽS + DP + LRP
DSVL + LVŽS + LRLS + DP + LRP
LSDP + TS-LKD
49.8
LSDP + DSVL + LRLS
49.5


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 20.6% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lithuania was conducted by Vilmorus. The survey took place between 14.09.2022 and 25.09.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get LSDP 22.4%, TS-LKD 18.9%, DSVL 12.3%, LVŽS 11.7%, LRLS 6.4%, DP 5.9%, LRP 5.4%, Laisvės 2.9% and LLRA-KŠS 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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