Latest polls from iData
37.2
20.3
19.2
4.7
3.6
3.2
3.1
2.9
2.8
1.2
0.9
0.9
35.5
19
17.8
7.2
4
3.7
2.7
2.5
2.4
1.3
1.2
0.4
2.3
35.6
19.3
18.3
5.2
5.1
4.6
3.3
2.8
2.1
1
0.9
0.6
1.2
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in iData pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 6.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, iData's average ranking is 4.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4