Latest voting intention survey by Watchdog & IPP for Moldova
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Moldova conducted by Watchdog & IPP, the parties received the following results: PAS 50.9%, BECS 30.5%, PN 5.2%, Ș.O.R. 4.7%, PDA 2.5%, AUR 1.7%, PPDA 1.2% and PDM 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1201 people during the period 30.06.2021 - 30.06.2021.
1201 participants
20.06.2021 - 30.06.2021
Watchdog & IPP
PAS
50.9
+1.1
BECS
30.5
+2.5
PN
5.2
-1.1
Ș.O.R.
4.7
±0.0
PDA
2.5
+0.1
AUR
1.7
±0.0
PPDA
1.2
-0.6
PDM
1.0
±0.0
Others
2.3
-2.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
101
Majority requires 51 seats
BECS
35
34.7%
PN
6
5.9%
PAS
60
59.4%
PAS
BECS + PN
PN
?
PolitPro Score
Watchdog & IPP achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Watchdog & IPP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.07
|
Parliamentary Election in Moldova 2021 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.