Latest voting intention survey by Watchdog & IPP for Moldova
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Moldova conducted by Watchdog & IPP, the parties received the following results: PAS 50.9%, BECS 30.5%, PN 5.2%, Ș.O.R. 4.7%, PDA 2.5%, AUR 1.7%, PPDA 1.2% and PDM 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1201 people during the period 30.06.2021 - 30.06.2021.
1201 participants
20.06.2021 - 30.06.2021
Watchdog & IPP
Seats in parliament
101
Majority requires 51 seats
BECS
35
34.7%
PN
6
5.9%
PAS
60
59.4%
PAS
BECS + PN
PN
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Watchdog & IPP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.07
|
Parliamentary Election in Moldawien 2021 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.