Norway
Election trend
Parties

Norway: Poll by Norfakta from 08.09.2021

Polling data

Ap
24.0
-1.5
H
19.1
-2.0
Sp
14.8
-1.4
FrP
11.4
+0.5
SV
8.2
+1.3
MDG
5.9
+1.6
R
5.4
+0.5
V
3.8
+0.5
KrF
3.6
+0.5
Sonst.
3.8
+0.0
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
Ap
-2.3
H
-1.3
Sp
+1.3
FrP
-0.2
SV
+0.6
MDG
+2.0
R
+0.7
V
-0.8
KrF
-0.2
Norfakta – 1003 respondents – 07.09.2021-08.09.2021
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Norway - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Norway from Norfakta shows the following results: Arbeiderpartiet 24%, Høyre 19.1%, Senterpartiet 14.8%, Fremskrittspartiet 11.4%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.2%, De Grønne 5.9%, Rødt 5.4%, Venstre 3.8% and Kristelig Folkeparti 3.6%. If an election were held in Norway this Sunday, De Grønne might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. Arbeiderpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Jonas Gahr Støre is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Arbeiderpartiet and Senterpartiet. With 43.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norfakta. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (07.09.2021 - 08.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

169
SV
15
R
10
Ap
46
MDG
11
Sp
29
H
37
FrP
21
Majority requires 85 seats
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
112
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre + De Grønne
94
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
90
Høyre + Senterpartiet + Fremskrittspartiet
87
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + De Grønne
86
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Rødt
85
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
83

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Norway was conducted by Norfakta. The survey took place between 07.09.2021 and 08.09.2021 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Arbeiderpartiet 24%, Høyre 19.1%, Senterpartiet 14.8%, Fremskrittspartiet 11.4%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti 8.2%, De Grønne 5.9%, Rødt 5.4%, Venstre 3.8% and Kristelig Folkeparti 3.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.