Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by CBM Indicator from 22.12.2020

Polling data

PiS
28.1
+28.1
KO
22.2
-3.9
PL2050
14.5
+14.5
Lewica
9.4
-5.0
Kon
7.1
+0.9
PSL
5.9
+5.9
SP
5.9
+5.9
K'15
3.7
+3.7
Sonst.
3.2
-50.1
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-8.5
PL2050
Lewica
+0.8
Kon
-0.1
PSL
SP
K'15
CBM Indicator – 1000 respondents – 17.12.2020-22.12.2020
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from CBM Indicator shows the following results: PiS 28.1%, KO 22.2%, PL2050 14.5%, Lewica 9.4%, Kon 7.1%, PSL 5.9%, Solidarna 5.9% and Kukiz’15 3.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.8 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 33.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CBM Indicator. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (17.12.2020 - 22.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
46
PL2050
72
KO
110
PSL
29
SP
29
PiS
139
Kon
35
Majority requires 231 seats
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + Kon
263
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
257
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + PSL
257
PiS + KO
249
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
246
KO + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
246
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
240
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
228

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by CBM Indicator. The survey took place between 17.12.2020 and 22.12.2020 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 28.1%, KO 22.2%, PL2050 14.5%, Lewica 9.4%, Kon 7.1%, PSL 5.9%, Solidarna 5.9% and Kukiz’15 3.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.