Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by CBM Indicator from 04.11.2019

Polling data

ZP
44.0
-3.2
KO
26.1
-0.9
Lewica
14.4
+1.0
KP
8.8
+1.5
Kon
6.2
+1.0
Sonst.
0.5
+0.6
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+8.6
KO
-4.6
Lewica
+5.8
KP
Kon
-1.0
CBM Indicator – 1000 respondents – 31.10.2019-04.11.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from CBM Indicator shows the following results: ZP 44%, KO 26.1%, Lewica 14.4%, KP 8.8% and Kon 6.2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 40.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CBM Indicator. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (31.10.2019 - 04.11.2019).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
67
KO
121
KP
40
ZP
204
Kon
28
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
325
ZP + Lewica
271
ZP + Kon
232

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by CBM Indicator. The survey took place between 31.10.2019 and 04.11.2019 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 44%, KO 26.1%, Lewica 14.4%, KP 8.8% and Kon 6.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.