Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Research Partner from 12.12.2022

Polling data

ZP
32.6
-1.4
KO
32.3
+3.3
PL2050
10.8
-0.7
Kon
7.9
+0.1
Lewica
7.5
-0.7
PSL
5.1
-1.3
K'15
2.0
+0.6
P
0.6
-0.3
Sonst.
1.2
+0.4
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
-2.8
KO
+1.6
PL2050
Kon
+0.7
Lewica
-1.1
PSL
K'15
P
Research Partner – 1047 respondents – 09.12.2022-12.12.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 38% of election polls Research Partner rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 30% of election polls Research Partner rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Research Partner shows the following results: ZP 32.6%, KO 32.3%, PL2050 10.8%, Kon 7.9%, Lewica 7.5%, PSL 5.1%, Kukiz’15 2% and Porozumienie 0.6%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. ZP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 41.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Research Partner. For this purpose, 1047 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (09.12.2022 - 12.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
36
PL2050
51
KO
155
PSL
24
ZP
157
Kon
37
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
312
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
245
KO + PL2050 + Kon
243
ZP + PL2050 + Lewica
244
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
242
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
232
KO + PL2050 + PSL
230
ZP + Kon + Lewica
230
KO + Kon + Lewica
228

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Research Partner. The survey took place between 09.12.2022 and 12.12.2022 among 1047 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 32.6%, KO 32.3%, PL2050 10.8%, Kon 7.9%, Lewica 7.5%, PSL 5.1%, Kukiz’15 2% and Porozumienie 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.