Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by CBM Indicator from 30.05.2023

Polling data

ZP
37.8
+37.8
KO
28.5
+6.3
PL2050/PSL
13.4
+13.4
Lewica
10.2
+0.8
Kon
10.1
+3.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+2.4
KO
-2.2
PL2050/PSL
-1.0
Lewica
+1.6
Kon
+2.9
CBM Indicator – 1000 respondents – 29.05.2023-30.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from CBM Indicator shows the following results: ZP 37.8%, KO 28.5%, PL2050/PSL 13.4%, Lewica 10.2% and Kon 10.1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 52.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by CBM Indicator. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (29.05.2023 - 30.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
47
PL2050/PSL
62
KO
131
ZP
174
Kon
46
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
305
ZP + Lewica + Kon
267
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
240
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
239
ZP + PL2050/PSL
236

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by CBM Indicator. The survey took place between 29.05.2023 and 30.05.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 37.8%, KO 28.5%, PL2050/PSL 13.4%, Lewica 10.2% and Kon 10.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.