Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Opinia24 from 07.03.2024

Polling data

KO
34.4
+1.5
PiS
25.8
+0.3
PL2050/PSL
14.9
-2.9
Kon
10.6
+1.4
Lewica
9.8
+0.1
BS
2.4
+0.8
PJJ
1.4
-0.9
Sonst.
0.7
-0.3
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+3.7
PiS
PL2050/PSL
+0.5
Kon
+3.4
Lewica
+1.2
BS
+0.8
PJJ
Opinia24 – 1001 respondents – 06.03.2024-07.03.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Opinia24 shows the following results: KO 34.4%, PiS 25.8%, PL2050/PSL 14.9%, Kon 10.6%, Lewica 9.8%, BS 2.4% and PJJ 1.4%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+0.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 61.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinia24. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (06.03.2024 - 07.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
47
PL2050/PSL
72
KO
166
PiS
124
Kon
51
Majority requires 231 seats
KO + PiS
290
KO + Kon + Lewica
264
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Kon
247
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
243
KO + PL2050/PSL
238

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Opinia24. The survey took place between 06.03.2024 and 07.03.2024 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 34.4%, PiS 25.8%, PL2050/PSL 14.9%, Kon 10.6%, Lewica 9.8%, BS 2.4% and PJJ 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.