Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Research Partner from 11.03.2024

Polling data

KO
34.6
+2.3
ZP
33.4
+0.8
PL2050/PSL
10.3
-4.4
Lewica
9.7
-0.4
Kon
9.2
+1.8
Sonst.
2.8
-0.1
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
+3.9
ZP
-2.0
PL2050/PSL
-4.1
Lewica
+1.1
Kon
+2.0
Research Partner – 1088 respondents – 08.03.2024-11.03.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates PL2050/PSL lower
In 33% of election polls Research Partner rates PL2050/PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 30% of election polls Research Partner rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Research Partner shows the following results: KO 34.6%, ZP 33.4%, PL2050/PSL 10.3%, Lewica 9.7% and Kon 9.2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 56.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Research Partner. For this purpose, 1088 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (08.03.2024 - 11.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
46
PL2050/PSL
48
KO
164
ZP
159
Kon
43
Majority requires 231 seats
KO + ZP
323
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
258
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
255
KO + Lewica + Kon
253
ZP + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
253
ZP + PL2050/PSL + Kon
250
ZP + Lewica + Kon
248

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Research Partner. The survey took place between 08.03.2024 and 11.03.2024 among 1088 eligible voters. After this election poll would get KO 34.6%, ZP 33.4%, PL2050/PSL 10.3%, Lewica 9.7% and Kon 9.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.