Portugal
Election trend
Parties

Portugal: Poll by Aximage from 20.02.2021

Polling data

PS
37.6
-2.3
PSD
26.5
-0.1
BE
7.7
+0.5
CH
6.5
-1.0
CDU
5.8
+0.8
IL
5.7
+2.2
PAN
4.0
+0.5
L
1.3
+0.7
PP
0.8
±0.0
Sonst.
4.1
-1.3
Development since the last election on 10.03.2024
PS
+8.9
PSD
BE
+3.2
CH
-11.6
CDU
+2.5
IL
+0.6
PAN
+2.1
L
-2.0
PP
Aximage – 822 respondents – 17.02.2021-20.02.2021
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.
Low number of respondents
Only 822 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Iniciativa Liberal lower
In 30% of election polls Aximage rates Iniciativa Liberal lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Aximage shows the following results: Partido Socialista 37.6%, PSD 26.5%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.7%, Chega 6.5%, CDU 5.8%, Iniciativa Liberal 5.7%, PAN 4%, LIVRE 1.3% and CDS–Partido Popular 0.8%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, Partido Socialista might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. Chega, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luís Montenegro is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Aliança Democrática. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Aximage. For this purpose, 822 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (17.02.2021 - 20.02.2021).

Coalition possibilities

230
BE
18
CDU
14
PAN
9
L
3
PS
92
IL
13
PSD
64
CH
16
PP
1
Majority requires 116 seats
Partido Socialista + PSD
156
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
124
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal
123
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN
119
Partido Socialista + CDU + Iniciativa Liberal
119
Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN + LIVRE
118
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN + LIVRE
117
Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN
115
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN
114
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + LIVRE
113

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Aximage. The survey took place between 17.02.2021 and 20.02.2021 among 822 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 37.6%, PSD 26.5%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.7%, Chega 6.5%, CDU 5.8%, Iniciativa Liberal 5.7%, PAN 4%, LIVRE 1.3% and CDS–Partido Popular 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.