Portugal
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Elections

Portugal: Poll by Pitagórica from 15.12.2022

Polling data

PS
35.9
+0.8
PSD
30.4
±0.0
CH
9.1
+0.9
IL
5.2
-0.9
CDU
4.3
-0.8
BE
3.4
-0.4
L
2.2
+0.2
PP
0.7
-0.6
PAN
0.6
-0.6
Others
8.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 30.01.2022
PS
-5.8
PSD
+2.6
CH
+1.9
IL
+0.2
CDU
-0.1
BE
-1.3
L
+0.9
PP
-0.9
PAN
-0.9
Pitagórica – 828 respondents – 09.12.2022-15.12.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2026.
Low number of respondents
Only 828 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Partido Socialista higher
In 43% of election polls, Pitagórica rates Partido Socialista higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSD higher
In 33% of election polls, Pitagórica rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Portugal - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Portugal from Pitagórica shows the following results: Partido Socialista 35.9%, PSD 30.4%, Chega 9.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 5.2%, CDU 4.3%, Bloco de Esquerda 3.4%, LIVRE 2.2%, CDS–Partido Popular 0.7% and PAN 0.6%. If an election were held in Portugal this Sunday, PSD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. Partido Socialista, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

António Costa is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Partido Socialista. With 39.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Pitagórica. For this purpose, 828 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (09.12.2022 - 15.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

Partido Socialista + PSD
72.2
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + Bloco de Esquerda
53.2
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU
49.5

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Portugal was conducted by Pitagórica. The survey took place between 09.12.2022 and 15.12.2022 among 828 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Socialista 35.9%, PSD 30.4%, Chega 9.1%, Iniciativa Liberal 5.2%, CDU 4.3%, Bloco de Esquerda 3.4%, LIVRE 2.2%, CDS–Partido Popular 0.7% and PAN 0.6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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