Romania
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Romania: Poll by CURS from 20.07.2023

Polling data

PSD
31.0
±0.0
AUR
20.0
+3.0
PNL
18.0
-2.0
USR
12.0
+1.0
UDMR
4.0
-1.0
PMP
4.0
-1.0
PPU
4.0
±0.0
SOS
4.0
±0.0
PRO
2.0
+2.0
Sonst.
1.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 06.12.2020
PSD
+2.1
AUR
+10.9
PNL
-7.2
USR
-3.4
UDMR
-1.7
PMP
-0.8
PPU
+3.0
SOS
New
PRO
-2.1
CURS – 1064 respondents – 08.07.2023-20.07.2023

Next election: 01.12.2024

The next general election in Romania will be held in 75.

Institute often rates AUR lower

In 55% of election polls CURS rates AUR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PNL lower

In 35% of election polls CURS rates PNL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSD higher

In 51% of election polls, CURS rates PSD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates USR lower

In 36% of election polls CURS rates USR lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Romania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Romania from CURS shows the following results: PSD 31%, AUR 20%, PNL 18%, USR 12%, UDMR 4%, PMP 4%, PPU 4%, S.O.S. 4% and PRO România 2%. If an election were held in Romania this Sunday, AUR might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.9 growth since the last election. PNL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from PSD, PNL and UDMR. With 60.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by CURS. For this purpose, 1064 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (08.07.2023 - 20.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

330
PSD
127
USR
49
PNL
73
AUR
81
Majority requires 166 seats
AUR + PNL + USR
203
PSD + PNL
200
PSD + USR
176

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Romania was conducted by CURS. The survey took place between 08.07.2023 and 20.07.2023 among 1064 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSD 31%, AUR 20%, PNL 18%, USR 12%, UDMR 4%, PMP 4%, PPU 4%, S.O.S. 4% and PRO România 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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