Sweden
Election trend
Parties

Sweden: Poll by Novus from 26.06.2022

Polling data

S
31.7
+1.5
M
19.6
-1.9
SD
17.4
-0.6
V
8.8
-0.6
KD
6.7
+0.4
C
5.4
-0.5
L
5.0
+1.5
MP
3.5
+0.2
Sonst.
1.9
0.0
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
S
+1.4
M
+0.5
SD
-3.1
V
+2.0
KD
+1.4
C
-1.3
L
+0.4
MP
-1.6
Novus – 2838 respondents – 06.06.2022-26.06.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Sweden - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Sweden from Novus shows the following results: Socialdemokraterna 31.7%, Moderaterna 19.6%, Sverigedemokraterna 17.4%, Vänsterpartiet 8.8%, Kristdemokraterna 6.7%, Centerpartiet 5.4%, Liberalerna 5% and Miljöpartiet 3.5%. If an election were held in Sweden this Sunday, Vänsterpartiet might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. Sverigedemokraterna, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ulf Kristersson is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna. With 33.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Novus. For this purpose, 2838 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 20 days (06.06.2022 - 26.06.2022).

Coalition possibilities

349
V
32
S
117
C
20
L
19
M
72
KD
25
SD
64
Majority requires 175 seats
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
189
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Kristdemokraterna + Centerpartiet
181
Socialdemokraterna + Kristdemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Liberalerna
181
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Kristdemokraterna + Liberalerna
180
Moderaterna + Sverigedemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Liberalerna
175

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by Novus. The survey took place between 06.06.2022 and 26.06.2022 among 2838 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterna 31.7%, Moderaterna 19.6%, Sverigedemokraterna 17.4%, Vänsterpartiet 8.8%, Kristdemokraterna 6.7%, Centerpartiet 5.4%, Liberalerna 5% and Miljöpartiet 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.