Sweden
Election trend
Parties

Sweden: Poll by Novus from 17.03.2024

Polling data

S
36.2
+0.8
M
19.5
+0.8
SD
19.1
-1.4
V
7.8
-1.1
C
4.6
-0.2
MP
4.6
+0.8
KD
3.8
+0.6
L
3.1
-0.2
Sonst.
1.3
-0.1
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
S
+5.9
M
+0.4
SD
-1.4
V
+1.0
C
-2.1
MP
-0.5
KD
-1.5
L
-1.5
Novus – 2230 respondents – 19.02.2024-17.03.2024
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Sweden - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Sweden from Novus shows the following results: Socialdemokraterna 36.2%, Moderaterna 19.5%, Sverigedemokraterna 19.1%, Vänsterpartiet 7.8%, Centerpartiet 4.6%, Miljöpartiet 4.6%, Kristdemokraterna 3.8% and Liberalerna 3.1%. If an election were held in Sweden this Sunday, Socialdemokraterna might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.9 growth since the last election. Centerpartiet, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Ulf Kristersson is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna. With 21.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Novus. For this purpose, 2230 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 27 days (19.02.2024 - 17.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

349
V
30
S
138
MP
17
C
17
M
74
SD
73
Majority requires 175 seats
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
212
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
185
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
185
Socialdemokraterna + Centerpartiet + Miljöpartiet
172

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Sweden was conducted by Novus. The survey took place between 19.02.2024 and 17.03.2024 among 2230 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterna 36.2%, Moderaterna 19.5%, Sverigedemokraterna 19.1%, Vänsterpartiet 7.8%, Centerpartiet 4.6%, Miljöpartiet 4.6%, Kristdemokraterna 3.8% and Liberalerna 3.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.