Latest voting intention survey by Sotomo for Switzerland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Switzerland conducted by Sotomo, the parties received the following results: SVP/UDC 29.9%, SP/PS 17.8%, FDP/PLR 14.3%, DM/LC 14.1%, G/LV 9.5%, GLP/PVL 6.6% and EVP/PEV 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 4467 people during the period 11.11.2024 - 11.11.2024.
4467 participants
28.10.2024 - 11.11.2024
Sotomo
SVP
29.9
+1.8
SP
17.8
-0.5
FDP
14.3
+0.2
DM
14.1
-0.2
G
9.5
-0.2
GLP
6.6
-0.2
EVP
2.0
-0.1
Others
5.8
-0.8
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
SP
38
19%
G
20
10%
GLP
14
7%
EVP
4
2%
FDP
30
15%
DM
30
15%
SVP
64
32%
SVP/UDC + FDP/PLR + DM/LC
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC + G/LV
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC + GLP/PVL
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + G/LV + GLP/PVL
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC + EVP/PEV
SP/PS + DM/LC + G/LV + GLP/PVL
FDP/PLR + DM/LC + G/LV + GLP/PVL + EVP/PEV
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC
SVP/UDC + FDP/PLR + EVP/PEV
SVP/UDC + DM/LC + EVP/PEV
92
PolitPro Score
Sotomo achieves a score of 92/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sotomo pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.6 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.25
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweiz 2023 | 1/1 |
|
1.17
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweiz 2019 | 1/2 |
|
0.49
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweiz 2015 | 2/2 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.