Latest voting intention survey by Sotomo for Switzerland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Switzerland conducted by Sotomo, the parties received the following results: SVP/UDC 29.9%, SP/PS 17.8%, FDP/PLR 14.3%, DM/LC 14.1%, G/LV 9.5%, GLP/PVL 6.6% and EVP/PEV 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 4467 people during the period 11.11.2024 - 11.11.2024.
4467 participants
28.10.2024 - 11.11.2024
Sotomo
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
SP
38
19%
G
20
10%
GLP
14
7%
EVP
4
2%
FDP
30
15%
DM
30
15%
SVP
64
32%
SVP/UDC + FDP/PLR + DM/LC
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC + G/LV
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC + GLP/PVL
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + G/LV + GLP/PVL
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC + EVP/PEV
SP/PS + DM/LC + G/LV + GLP/PVL
FDP/PLR + DM/LC + G/LV + GLP/PVL + EVP/PEV
SP/PS + FDP/PLR + DM/LC
SVP/UDC + FDP/PLR + EVP/PEV
SVP/UDC + DM/LC + EVP/PEV
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
0.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sotomo pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.6 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.25
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweiz 2023 | 1/1 |
|
1.17
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweiz 2019 | 1/2 |
|
0.49
|
Parliamentary Election in Schweiz 2015 | 2/2 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.