Current election polls by Market LINKS

New Bulgaria
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
27.7
20
14.1
11.5
9.9
4.4
12.4
Bulgaria
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
26.4
20.1
14.5
12.8
10.5
4.5
11.2
Bulgaria
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
Open Details
23.9
18.2
14.8
12
7.7
3.3
20.1
Bulgaria
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
22.9
17.8
10.9
10.9
8.1
7.6
4.7
3.8
13.3
Bulgaria
· 1 year ago
1 year ago
Open Details
24.4
19.6
10.6
10.3
8.6
7.3
3.9
1.9
1.2
12.2

Rating of parties

Institute often rates GERB lower
In 43% of election polls Market LINKS rates GERB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ITN lower
In 38% of election polls Market LINKS rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Market LINKS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Market LINKS's average ranking is 2.0.
2
1x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction