Czech Republic: Poll by STEM from 14.11.2023

Czech Republic: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ANO
33.2
+2.4
SPD
12.0
+1.1
ODS
11.6
-1.5
Piráti
10.2
+0.6
STAN
6.4
+1.1
TOP 09
5.2
-0.2
SOCDEM
4.5
+0.5
KDU
3.5
-1.5
KSČM
3.0
-1.3
S
2.3
-0.5
PRO
1.9
+0.7
Z
1.6
-1.1
THO
1.2
+0.1
Others
3.4
-0.4
Development since the last election on 09.10.2021
ANO
+6.1
SPD
+2.4
ODS
New
Piráti
New
STAN
New
TOP 09
New
SOCDEM
-0.2
KDU
New
KSČM
-0.6
S
New
PRO
New
Z
New
THO
New
STEM – 1097 respondents – 02.11.2023-14.11.2023

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Czech Republic is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates ANO 2011 higher

In 36% of election polls, STEM rates ANO 2011 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ODS lower

In 36% of election polls STEM rates ODS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 50% of election polls, STEM rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Czech Republic - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Czech Republic from STEM shows the following results: ANO 2011 33.2%, SPD 12%, ODS 11.6%, Piráti 10.2%, STAN 6.4%, TOP 09 5.2%, SOCDEM 4.5%, KDU-ČSL 3.5%, KSČM 3%, Svobodní 2.3%, PRO 1.9%, Zelení 1.6% and Trikolóra 1.2%. If an election were held in Czech Republic this Sunday, ANO 2011 might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.1 growth since the last election. KSČM, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petr Fiala is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ODS, Piráti, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and STAN. With 42.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by STEM. For this purpose, 1097 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (02.11.2023 - 14.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
Piráti
26
13%
STAN
16
8%
ANO
85
42.5%
TOP 09
13
6.5%
SPD
31
15.5%
ODS
29
14.5%
ANO 2011 + SPD
58.0%
ANO 2011 + ODS
57.0%
ANO 2011 + ODS
57.0%
ANO 2011 + Piráti
55.5%
ANO 2011 + Piráti
55.5%
ANO 2011 + STAN
50.5%
ANO 2011 + STAN
50.5%
ANO 2011 + TOP 09
49.0%
ANO 2011 + TOP 09
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Czech Republic was conducted by STEM. The survey took place between 02.11.2023 and 14.11.2023 among 1097 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ANO 2011 33.2%, SPD 12%, ODS 11.6%, Piráti 10.2%, STAN 6.4%, TOP 09 5.2%, SOCDEM 4.5%, KDU-ČSL 3.5%, KSČM 3%, Svobodní 2.3%, PRO 1.9%, Zelení 1.6% and Trikolóra 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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