Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 13.01.2023

Finland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
KOK
22.8
-0.7
PS
19.1
+1.2
SDP
18.5
-0.6
KESK
9.8
-0.1
VIHR
9.2
-0.6
VAS
7.8
-0.2
SFP
4.4
+0.1
KD
3.9
+0.5
LIIK
2.2
+0.4
Others
2.3
0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
+2.0
PS
-1.0
SDP
-1.4
KESK
-1.5
VIHR
+2.2
VAS
+0.7
SFP
+0.1
KD
-0.3
LIIK
-0.2
Kantar TNS – 2420 respondents – 19.12.2022-13.01.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 22.8%, Perussuomalaiset 19.1%, SDP 18.5%, Suomen Keskusta 9.8%, Vihreä liitto 9.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.2%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 51.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2420 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (19.12.2022 - 13.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
VAS
16
8%
SDP
38
19%
VIHR
19
9.5%
KESK
20
10%
SFP
9
4.5%
KOK
47
23.5%
KD
8
4%
LIIK
4
2%
PS
39
19.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
53.0%
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
52.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
52.0%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.5%
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
51.0%
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
51.0%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
49.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
49.5%
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
49.0%
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
49.0%
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 19.12.2022 and 13.01.2023 among 2420 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 22.8%, Perussuomalaiset 19.1%, SDP 18.5%, Suomen Keskusta 9.8%, Vihreä liitto 9.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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