Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 13.01.2023

Polling data

KOK
22.8
-0.7
PS
19.1
+1.2
SDP
18.5
-0.6
KESK
9.8
-0.1
VIHR
9.2
-0.6
VAS
7.8
-0.2
SFP
4.4
+0.1
KD
3.9
+0.5
LIIK
2.2
+0.4
Sonst.
2.3
0.0
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
+2.0
PS
-1.0
SDP
-1.4
KESK
-1.5
VIHR
+2.2
VAS
+0.7
SFP
+0.1
KD
-0.3
LIIK
-0.2
Kantar TNS – 2420 respondents – 19.12.2022-13.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 22.8%, Perussuomalaiset 19.1%, SDP 18.5%, Suomen Keskusta 9.8%, Vihreä liitto 9.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.2%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. Suomen Keskusta, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 51.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2420 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 25 days (19.12.2022 - 13.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
16
SDP
38
VIHR
19
KESK
20
SFP
9
KOK
47
KD
8
LIIK
4
PS
39
Majority requires 101 seats
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
106
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
105
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
104
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
103
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
103
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
102
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
102
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
99
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
99
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
98
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
98
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
98

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 19.12.2022 and 13.01.2023 among 2420 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 22.8%, Perussuomalaiset 19.1%, SDP 18.5%, Suomen Keskusta 9.8%, Vihreä liitto 9.2%, Vasemmistoliitto 7.8%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.4%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% and Liike Nyt 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.