Finland
Election trend
Parties

Finland: Poll by Kantar TNS from 17.03.2023

Polling data

KOK
20.8
-0.5
SDP
19.3
+0.1
PS
19.3
-0.7
KESK
10.7
+1.1
VIHR
8.3
-1.1
VAS
8.2
+0.2
SFP
4.5
+0.1
KD
4.0
+0.1
LIIK
2.2
+0.2
Sonst.
2.7
+0.5
Development since the last election on 02.04.2023
KOK
±0.0
SDP
-0.6
PS
-0.8
KESK
-0.6
VIHR
+1.3
VAS
+1.1
SFP
+0.2
KD
-0.2
LIIK
-0.2
Kantar TNS – 2584 respondents – 13.02.2023-17.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Finland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Finland from Kantar TNS shows the following results: Kokoomus 20.8%, SDP 19.3%, Perussuomalaiset 19.3%, Suomen Keskusta 10.7%, Vihreä liitto 8.3%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.2%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 2.2%. If an election were held in Finland this Sunday, Vihreä liitto might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. Perussuomalaiset, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. With 49.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar TNS. For this purpose, 2584 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 32 days (13.02.2023 - 17.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

200
VAS
17
SDP
40
VIHR
17
KESK
22
SFP
9
KOK
43
KD
8
LIIK
4
PS
40
Majority requires 101 seats
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet
109
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit
108
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Vasemmistoliitto + Svenska folkpartiet
105
Kokoomus + SDP + Suomen Keskusta
105
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
105
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
104
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
104
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto + Liike Nyt
104
Kokoomus + SDP + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
100
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
100
Kokoomus + SDP + Vihreä liitto
100
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Kristillisdemokraatit
99

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Finland was conducted by Kantar TNS. The survey took place between 13.02.2023 and 17.03.2023 among 2584 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Kokoomus 20.8%, SDP 19.3%, Perussuomalaiset 19.3%, Suomen Keskusta 10.7%, Vihreä liitto 8.3%, Vasemmistoliitto 8.2%, Svenska folkpartiet 4.5%, Kristillisdemokraatit 4% and Liike Nyt 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.