Latest voting intention survey by Századvég Alapítvány for Hungary
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Hungary conducted by Századvég Alapítvány, the parties received the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 53%, Jobbik 13%, MSZP-P 12%, Demokratikus Koalíció 8% and LMP 5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 13.01.2019 - 13.01.2019.
1000 participants
07.01.2019 - 13.01.2019
Századvég Alapítvány
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
199
Majority requires 100 seats
MSZP-P
26
13.1%
DK
17
8.5%
LMP
11
5.5%
J
28
14.1%
Fidesz
117
58.8%
Fidesz/KDNP
Jobbik + MSZP-P + Demokratikus Koalíció + LMP
Jobbik + MSZP-P + LMP
?
PolitPro Score
Századvég Alapítvány achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Századvég Alapítvány pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
2.13
|
Parliamentary Election in Ungarn 2018 | 4/6 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.