Hungary: Poll by IDEA Intézet from 09.10.2022

Polling data

Fidesz
51.0
+1.0
DK
20.0
+3.0
MH
9.0
±0.0
MM
6.0
±0.0
J
4.0
+1.0
MKKP
3.0
-2.0
MSZP
2.0
±0.0
P
2.0
-1.0
LMP
1.0
-1.0
Sonst.
2.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 03.04.2022
IDEA Intézet – 1800 respondents – 29.09.2022-09.10.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Hungary - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Hungary from IDEA Intézet shows the following results: Fidesz/KDNP 51%, Demokratikus Koalíció 20%, Mi Hazánk 9%, Momentum 6%, Jobbik 4%, MKKP 3%, MSZP 2%, Párbeszéd 2% and LMP 1%. If an election were held in Hungary this Sunday, Momentum might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. Fidesz/KDNP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from Fidesz/KDNP. With 59.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IDEA Intézet. For this purpose, 1800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (29.09.2022 - 09.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

199
DK
46
MM
14
Fidesz
118
MH
21
Majority requires 100 seats
Fidesz/KDNP
118
Demokratikus Koalíció + Momentum
60
Mi Hazánk + Momentum
35

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hungary was conducted by IDEA Intézet. The survey took place between 29.09.2022 and 09.10.2022 among 1800 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fidesz/KDNP 51%, Demokratikus Koalíció 20%, Mi Hazánk 9%, Momentum 6%, Jobbik 4%, MKKP 3%, MSZP 2%, Párbeszéd 2% and LMP 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.