Ireland
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Elections

Ireland: Poll by Behaviour and Attitudes from 09.05.2023

Polling data

SF
35.0
-2.0
FF
22.0
+1.0
FG
17.0
+2.0
GP
5.0
-1.0
Lab
4.0
±0.0
SD
3.0
-1.0
S-PBP
1.0
-1.0
Aon
1.0
-1.0
Others
12.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+10.5
FF
-0.2
FG
-3.9
GP
-2.1
Lab
-0.4
SD
+0.1
S-PBP
-1.6
Aon
-0.9
Behaviour and Attitudes – 906 respondents – 27.04.2023-09.05.2023
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil higher
In 47% of election polls, Behaviour and Attitudes rates Fianna Fáil higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin higher
In 37% of election polls, Behaviour and Attitudes rates Sinn Féin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Behaviour and Attitudes shows the following results: Sinn Féin 35%, Fianna Fáil 22%, Fine Gael 17%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 1% and Aontú 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.5 growth since the last election. Fine Gael, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Behaviour and Attitudes. For this purpose, 906 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (27.04.2023 - 09.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party + Labour Party
54.5
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats
53.4
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party + Social Democrats
53.4
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party + Social Democrats
52.2
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
50.0
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party
50.0

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Behaviour and Attitudes. The survey took place between 27.04.2023 and 09.05.2023 among 906 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 35%, Fianna Fáil 22%, Fine Gael 17%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 1% and Aontú 1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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