Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Ireland Thinks from 02.02.2024

Polling data

SF
29.0
-4.0
FG
19.0
-2.0
FF
17.0
-1.0
SD
5.0
-1.0
GP
4.0
+2.0
Lab
4.0
+1.0
Aon
3.0
+1.0
S-PBP
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
16.0
+4.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+4.5
FG
-1.9
FF
-5.2
SD
+2.1
GP
-3.1
Lab
-0.4
Aon
+1.1
S-PBP
+0.4
Ireland Thinks – 1394 respondents – 01.02.2024-02.02.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ireland Thinks shows the following results: Sinn Féin 29%, Fine Gael 19%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Social Democrats 5%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 47.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ireland Thinks. For this purpose, 1394 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (01.02.2024 - 02.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
57
S-PBP
5
SD
9
Lab
7
GP
7
FG
37
FF
33
Aon
5
Majority requires 81 seats
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit
85
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party + Aontú
85
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Green Party
86
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party
86
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
83
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
83
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú
84
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Green Party
84
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Green Party + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
81
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Aontú
82
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Aontú
82
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
80
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats
79

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ireland Thinks. The survey took place between 01.02.2024 and 02.02.2024 among 1394 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 29%, Fine Gael 19%, Fianna Fáil 17%, Social Democrats 5%, Green Party 4%, Labour Party 4%, Aontú 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.