Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Ipsos from 06.02.2024

Polling data

SF
28.0
-7.0
FF
20.0
+2.0
FG
19.0
-3.0
GP
5.0
+1.0
Lab
4.0
±0.0
SD
4.0
+2.0
S-PBP
2.0
+1.0
Aon
1.0
+1.0
Sonst.
17.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
SF
+3.5
FF
-2.2
FG
-1.9
GP
-2.1
Lab
-0.4
SD
+1.1
S-PBP
-0.6
Aon
-0.9
Ipsos – 1200 respondents – 02.02.2024-06.02.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Ipsos shows the following results: Sinn Féin 28%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Fine Gael 19%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 4%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 2% and Aontú 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Sinn Féin might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. Fianna Fáil, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 53.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (02.02.2024 - 06.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
55
S-PBP
3
Lab
7
SD
7
GP
9
FF
40
FG
38
Aon
1
Majority requires 81 seats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Green Party
87
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
85
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Social Democrats
85
Sinn Féin + Green Party + Labour Party + Social Democrats + Solidarity–People Before Profit
81

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 02.02.2024 and 06.02.2024 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Sinn Féin 28%, Fianna Fáil 20%, Fine Gael 19%, Green Party 5%, Labour Party 4%, Social Democrats 4%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 2% and Aontú 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.