Ireland
Election trend
Parties

Ireland: Poll by Behaviour and Attitudes from 14.01.2020

Polling data

FF
32.0
+5.0
FG
20.0
-7.0
SF
19.0
-1.0
GP
7.0
+1.0
Lab
4.0
-2.0
IA
3.0
+1.0
S-PBP
2.0
-1.0
SD
1.0
±0.0
RI
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
11.0
+4.0
Development since the last election on 08.02.2020
FF
+9.8
FG
-0.9
SF
-5.5
GP
-0.1
Lab
-0.4
IA
S-PBP
-0.6
SD
-1.9
RI
+0.7
Behaviour and Attitudes – 930 respondents – 04.01.2020-14.01.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Fianna Fáil higher
In 47% of election polls, Behaviour and Attitudes rates Fianna Fáil higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sinn Féin higher
In 37% of election polls, Behaviour and Attitudes rates Sinn Féin higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Ireland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Ireland from Behaviour and Attitudes shows the following results: Fianna Fáil 32%, Fine Gael 20%, Sinn Féin 19%, Green Party 7%, Labour Party 4%, Independent Alliance 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 2%, Social Democrats 1% and Renua Ireland 1%. If an election were held in Ireland this Sunday, Fianna Fáil might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.8 growth since the last election. Sinn Féin, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Micheál Martin is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and Green Party. With 66.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Behaviour and Attitudes. For this purpose, 930 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (04.01.2020 - 14.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

160
SF
35
S-PBP
3
Lab
7
SD
1
GP
12
IA
5
FF
59
FG
37
RI
1
Majority requires 81 seats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael
96
Fianna Fáil + Green Party + Labour Party
78
Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Independent Alliance
71

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Ireland was conducted by Behaviour and Attitudes. The survey took place between 04.01.2020 and 14.01.2020 among 930 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fianna Fáil 32%, Fine Gael 20%, Sinn Féin 19%, Green Party 7%, Labour Party 4%, Independent Alliance 3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 2%, Social Democrats 1% and Renua Ireland 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.