Latest polls from NHK
1 month ago
LDP
38
CDP
5.4
Ishin
4.1
Komei
3.3
JCP
2.7
DPP
1.3
Reiwa
0.9
Sans.
0.6
SDP
0.4
N-Koku
0.1
Others
43.2
2 months ago
LDP
38.9
CDP
5.7
Ishin
3.4
Komei
3
JCP
2.5
DPP
1
Reiwa
0.8
Sans.
0.7
SDP
0.6
N-Koku
0.2
Others
43.2
3 months ago
LDP
35.5
CDP
7.3
Ishin
4.1
Komei
3.1
JCP
2.8
DPP
1.5
Reiwa
1.1
Sans.
0.4
SDP
0.3
N-Koku
0.3
Others
43.6
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in NHK pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, NHK's average ranking is 0.0.
Rating of parties
Institute often rates CDP lower
In 44% of election polls NHK rates CDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Ishin lower
In 88% of election polls NHK rates Ishin lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates LDP higher
In 69% of election polls, NHK rates LDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reiwa lower
In 43% of election polls NHK rates Reiwa lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.