Latest election polls for Japan

PolitPro election trend

LDP
42.3%
+3.2
NKP
5%
+1.2
JCP
4.6%
±0
CDP
14.2%
+1.4
Ishin
6.6%
±0
Reiwa
2.2%
-0.8
DPP
1.3%
+0.3
Sonstige
23.8%
-5.3
Development since the last election on 22.10.2017
LDP
+9.0
NKP
-7.5
JCP
-3.3
CDP
-5.7
Ishin
+0.5
Reiwa
+2.2
DPP
+1.3
Political orientation
LDP
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NKP
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JCP
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CDP
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Ishin
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Reiwa
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DPP
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 04.10.2020.

Latest election polls

LDP
46%
+16.4
NKP
7.6%
+4.5
JCP
7.2%
+1.9
CDP
22.3%
+11.5
Ishin
11.3%
+6.8
SDP
1.3%
+0.5
Reiwa
1.7%
+1.7
DPP
1.4%
+0.3
N-Koku
0.8%
+0.8
Sonstige
0.4%
-44.4
LDP
40.8%
±0
NKP
3%
±0
JCP
1.7%
±0
CDP
6.2%
±0
Ishin
1.1%
±0
SDP
0.4%
±0
N-Koku
0.1%
±0
DPP
0.1%
±0
Reiwa
0.2%
±0
Sonstige
46.4%
±0
LDP
44%
+0.8
NKP
4%
+0.8
JCP
5%
+2.8
CDP
15%
+11.5
Ishin
8%
+5.7
Reiwa
3%
+3
DPP
1%
-0.1
N-Koku
1%
+1
Sonstige
19%
-25.5
LDP
43.2%
+11.2
NKP
3.2%
+0.1
JCP
2.2%
-1.3
CDP
3.5%
-1
Ishin
2.3%
-0.1
DPP
1.1%
+0.1
Sonstige
44.5%
-8.6
LDP
78%
+10
NKP
4%
-1
JCP
6%
+1
CDP
6%
-8
Ishin
2%
-2
DPP
2%
±0
Sonstige
2%
+2
LDP
63.9%
±0
NKP
5.8%
±0
JCP
5.4%
±0
CDP
11.5%
±0
Ishin
7.2%
±0
SDP
0.7%
±0
DPP
2.5%
±0
Sonstige
3%
±0

Possible coalitions

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LDP
58.2%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 3%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

LDP
NKP
JCP
CDP
Ishin
DPP
Reiwa
N-Koku
SDP

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 22.10.2017.