Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 31.12.2022

Latvia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
JV
18.8
-3.7
ZZS
15.1
+3.5
P
11.7
-0.6
NA
11.1
-1.0
AS
8.9
-2.1
S!
8.0
+2.2
LPV
5.8
-0.1
AP!
5.3
+0.2
S
4.4
±0.0
K
2.8
+0.1
KuK
2.2
+0.2
SV
1.5
±0.0
Others
4.4
+1.3
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
-0.3
ZZS
+2.3
P
+5.5
NA
+1.7
AS
-2.2
S!
+1.2
LPV
-0.5
AP!
+0.2
S
-0.4
K
-0.4
KuK
-1.5
SV
-1.7
SKDS – 1785 respondents – 01.12.2022-31.12.2022

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates AP! lower

In 37% of election polls SKDS rates AP! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Jaunā Vienotība lower

In 35% of election polls SKDS rates Jaunā Vienotība lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDPS higher

In 32% of election polls, SKDS rates SDPS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 18.8%, ZZS 15.1%, Progresīvie 11.7%, Nacionālā Apvienība 11.1%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 8%, LPV 5.8%, AP! 5.3%, SDPS 4.4%, K 2.8%, KuK 2.2% and SV 1.5%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. AS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 42.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1785 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.12.2022 - 31.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
14
14%
AP!
6
6%
ZZS
18
18%
JV
23
23%
AS
10
10%
S!
9
9%
NA
13
13%
LPV
7
7%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
57.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
57.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + AP!
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei! + AP!
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV + AP!
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība
54.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + LPV + AP!
54.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + LPV + AP!
54.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + LPV + AP!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + AP!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + LPV
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + AP!
52.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + LPV
52.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + AP!
52.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + AP!
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
51.0%
ZZS + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
50.0%
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
50.0%
ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV + AP!
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AP!
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.12.2022 and 31.12.2022 among 1785 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 18.8%, ZZS 15.1%, Progresīvie 11.7%, Nacionālā Apvienība 11.1%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 8%, LPV 5.8%, AP! 5.3%, SDPS 4.4%, K 2.8%, KuK 2.2% and SV 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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