Latvia
Election trend
Parties

Latvia: Poll by SKDS from 31.12.2022

Polling data

JV
18.8
-3.7
ZZS
15.1
+3.5
P
11.7
-0.6
NA
11.1
-1.0
AS
8.9
-2.1
S!
8.0
+2.2
LPV
5.8
-0.1
AP!
5.3
+0.2
S
4.4
±0.0
K
2.8
+0.1
KuK
2.2
+0.2
SV
1.5
±0.0
Sonst.
4.4
+1.3
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
-0.3
ZZS
+2.3
P
+5.5
NA
+1.7
AS
-2.2
S!
+1.2
LPV
-0.5
AP!
+0.2
S
-0.4
K
-0.4
KuK
-1.5
SV
-1.7
SKDS – 1785 respondents – 01.12.2022-31.12.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Latvia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Latvia from SKDS shows the following results: Jaunā Vienotība 18.8%, ZZS 15.1%, Progresīvie 11.7%, Nacionālā Apvienība 11.1%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 8%, LPV 5.8%, AP! 5.3%, SDPS 4.4%, K 2.8%, KuK 2.2% and SV 1.5%. If an election were held in Latvia this Sunday, Progresīvie might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. AS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. With 41.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SKDS. For this purpose, 1785 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.12.2022 - 31.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

100
P
14
AP!
6
ZZS
18
JV
23
AS
10
S!
9
NA
13
LPV
7
Majority requires 51 seats
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
57
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei! + AP!
56
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
57
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
56
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + AP!
56
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
55
Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV + AP!
55
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + LPV + AP!
54
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie
55
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + LPV + AP!
53
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība
54
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + LPV + AP!
54
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + AP!
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + LPV
53
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + AP!
52
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + AP!
52
ZZS + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
51
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + LPV
52
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + Stabilitātei! + AP!
51
ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV + AP!
50
ZZS + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
50
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
51
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
50
Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei! + LPV
49
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AP!
49

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Latvia was conducted by SKDS. The survey took place between 01.12.2022 and 31.12.2022 among 1785 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Jaunā Vienotība 18.8%, ZZS 15.1%, Progresīvie 11.7%, Nacionālā Apvienība 11.1%, AS 8.9%, Stabilitātei! 8%, LPV 5.8%, AP! 5.3%, SDPS 4.4%, K 2.8%, KuK 2.2% and SV 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.