Current election polls and polling data from BiDiMedia

Latest voting intention survey by BiDiMedia for Italy

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Italy conducted by BiDiMedia, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29%, Partito Democratico 23.5%, Movimento 5 Stelle 10.9%, Lega 9%, Forza Italia 8.6%, AVS 6.7%, Azione 3%, Italia Viva 2%, Più Europa 1.6%, PTD 1.4%, DSp 0.9%, Italexit 0.9%, ScN 0.8% and NM 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 07.09.2024 - 07.09.2024.
1000 participants
05.09.2024 - 07.09.2024
BiDiMedia
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+3.0
PD
+4.4
M5S
-4.5
Lega
+0.2
FI
+0.5
AVS
+3.1
A
New
IV
New
+E
-1.2
PTD
New
DSP
-0.3
Exit
-1.0
ScN
±0.0
NM
-0.2
FdI
29.0
+0.5
PD
23.5
+3.8
M5S
10.9
-4.4
Lega
9.0
+0.3
FI
8.6
+1.8
AVS
6.7
+3.4
A
3.0
-1.4
IV
2.0
-0.9
+E
1.6
-1.1
PTD
1.4
+1.4
DSP
0.9
-0.4
Exit
0.9
-0.7
ScN
0.8
+0.8
NM
0.7
-0.1
Others
1.0
-3.0

Seats in parliament

400
Majority requires 201 seats
M5S
48
12%
AVS
29
7.3%
PD
104
26%
A
13
3.3%
FI
38
9.5%
FdI
129
32.3%
Lega
39
9.8%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
57.3%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
54.0%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
53.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
51.5%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
51.5%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
50.8%
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + AVS
49.3%
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
45.3%

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
+E
Not enough data available
A
Not enough data available
AVS
Not enough data available
Exit
Not enough data available
FI
23
77
0
FdI
5
95
0
IV
Not enough data available
Lega
13
87
0
M5S
11
85
3
NM
Not enough data available
PD
Not enough data available
PTD
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
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