Italy
Election trend
Parties

Italy: Poll by Quorum from 18.05.2023

Polling data

FdI
29.4
+0.8
PD
21.3
+0.5
M5S
16.1
-0.8
Lega
8.2
-0.2
FI
6.5
+0.1
A
3.4
-0.8
AVS
3.1
+0.1
IV
2.4
-0.1
+E
1.8
-0.1
Exit
1.6
-0.2
NM
1.2
+0.2
Sonst.
5.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
FdI
+3.4
PD
+2.2
M5S
+0.7
Lega
-0.6
FI
-1.6
A
AVS
-0.5
IV
+E
-1.0
Exit
-0.3
NM
+0.3
Quorum – 801 respondents – 17.05.2023-18.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Italy is expected to take place in 2027.
Low number of respondents
Only 801 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.
Institute often rates Forza Italia lower
In 36% of election polls Quorum rates Forza Italia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Italy - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Italy from Quorum shows the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 29.4%, Partito Democratico 21.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.1%, Lega 8.2%, Forza Italia 6.5%, Azione 3.4%, AVS 3.1%, Italia Viva 2.4%, Più Europa 1.8%, Italexit 1.6% and NM 1.2%. If an election were held in Italy this Sunday, Fratelli d’Italia might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. Forza Italia, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Giorgia Meloni is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from Lega, Forza Italia, Fratelli d’Italia and NM. With 50.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Quorum. For this purpose, 801 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (17.05.2023 - 18.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

400
M5S
73
AVS
14
PD
97
A
15
FI
29
FdI
135
Lega
37
Majority requires 201 seats
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega + Forza Italia
236
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia + Azione
214
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle
208
Fratelli d’Italia + Lega + Forza Italia
201
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Forza Italia
199
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + Azione + AVS
199
Partito Democratico + Movimento 5 Stelle + AVS
184

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Italy was conducted by Quorum. The survey took place between 17.05.2023 and 18.05.2023 among 801 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Fratelli d’Italia 29.4%, Partito Democratico 21.3%, Movimento 5 Stelle 16.1%, Lega 8.2%, Forza Italia 6.5%, Azione 3.4%, AVS 3.1%, Italia Viva 2.4%, Più Europa 1.8%, Italexit 1.6% and NM 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.