Latest polls from Ipsos
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ipsos's average ranking is 5.2.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
4x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
1x on rank 6
7
3x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
1x on rank 11
Rating of parties
Institute often rates KO lower
In 38% of election polls Ipsos rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 44% of election polls, Ipsos rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 higher
In 40% of election polls, Ipsos rates PL2050 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.