Slovakia
Election trend
Parties

Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 19.05.2023

Polling data

SMER
16.9
+0.7
HLAS
15.6
-0.4
PS
13.3
+2.2
REP
9.1
+0.5
SR
7.5
-1.0
OĽaNO
7.0
+2.2
SaS
6.1
-0.3
KDH
5.2
-0.5
ALI
3.8
±0.0
SNS
3.8
+0.8
D
3.4
+3.4
ZĽ
2.2
-0.7
ĽSNS
1.8
-0.4
Sonst.
4.3
-6.5
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-6.0
HLAS
+0.9
PS
-4.7
REP
+4.3
SR
+5.3
OĽaNO
-1.9
SaS
-0.2
KDH
-1.6
ALI
-0.6
SNS
-1.8
D
+0.5
ZĽ
ĽSNS
Ipsos – 1004 respondents – 16.05.2023-19.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: SMER 16.9%, HLAS 15.6%, PS 13.3%, Republika 9.1%, Sme Rodina 7.5%, OĽaNO 7%, SaS 6.1%, KDH 5.2%, Aliancia 3.8%, SNS 3.8%, Demokrati 3.4%, ZĽ 2.2% and ĽSNS 1.8%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Sme Rodina might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.3 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 40.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.05.2023 - 19.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
SMER
32
HLAS
29
PS
25
OĽaNO
13
SaS
11
KDH
9
SR
14
REP
17
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER + HLAS + PS
86
SMER + HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS
85
SMER + HLAS + OĽaNO + KDH
83
SMER + HLAS + SaS + KDH
81
SMER + PS + OĽaNO + SaS
81
SMER + PS + OĽaNO + KDH
79
HLAS + PS + OĽaNO + SaS
78
SMER + PS + SaS + KDH
77
HLAS + PS + OĽaNO + KDH
76
HLAS + PS + SaS + KDH
74
SMER + HLAS + OĽaNO
74

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 16.05.2023 and 19.05.2023 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 16.9%, HLAS 15.6%, PS 13.3%, Republika 9.1%, Sme Rodina 7.5%, OĽaNO 7%, SaS 6.1%, KDH 5.2%, Aliancia 3.8%, SNS 3.8%, Demokrati 3.4%, ZĽ 2.2% and ĽSNS 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.