Slovakia
Election trend
Parties

Slovakia: Poll by FOCUS from 12.02.2020

Polling data

SMER
17.0
-1.0
OĽaNO
13.3
+4.3
ĽSNS
12.2
-0.6
PS–SP
9.3
-0.5
ZĽ
8.2
-2.6
SR
7.8
+0.2
KDH
5.4
-0.3
SaS
5.3
-0.2
SNS
4.4
-0.8
Modri
4.2
-0.2
DV
4.0
±0.0
SMK
3.9
-0.1
V
3.2
+1.2
Sonst.
1.8
+0.6
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-5.9
OĽaNO
+4.4
ĽSNS
PS–SP
ZĽ
SR
+5.6
KDH
-1.4
SaS
-1.0
SNS
-1.2
Modri
DV
SMK
V
FOCUS – 1005 respondents – 06.02.2020-12.02.2020
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from FOCUS shows the following results: SMER 17%, OĽaNO 13.3%, ĽSNS 12.2%, PS–SPOLU 9.3%, ZĽ 8.2%, Sme Rodina 7.8%, KDH 5.4%, SaS 5.3%, SNS 4.4%, Modrí, Most–Híd 4.2%, DV 4%, SMK–MKP 3.9% and V 3.2%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Sme Rodina might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 21.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by FOCUS. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (06.02.2020 - 12.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

150
SMER
33
PS–SP
18
OĽaNO
25
ZĽ
16
KDH
10
SaS
10
SR
15
ĽSNS
23
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER + OĽaNO + ZĽ + KDH
84
SMER + OĽaNO + ZĽ + SaS
84
SMER + OĽaNO + KDH + SaS
78
OĽaNO + ZĽ + Sme Rodina + KDH + SaS
76
SMER + OĽaNO + ZĽ
74

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by FOCUS. The survey took place between 06.02.2020 and 12.02.2020 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 17%, OĽaNO 13.3%, ĽSNS 12.2%, PS–SPOLU 9.3%, ZĽ 8.2%, Sme Rodina 7.8%, KDH 5.4%, SaS 5.3%, SNS 4.4%, Modrí, Most–Híd 4.2%, DV 4%, SMK–MKP 3.9% and V 3.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.